000
FZNT02 KNHC 040930
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC FRI OCT 4 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 06.
 
.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 24.9N 89.8W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
04 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...30
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.0N 90.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE 
N OF 25N BETWEEN 86W AND 92W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 29.1N 89.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 86W 
AND 91W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN INLAND NEAR 32.5N 84.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL KAREN NEAR 37.5N
77.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.