000
FZNT02 KNHC 032219 CCA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC THU OCT 03 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 05.
 
.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 23.3N 88.5W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 03
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 26.2N 89.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 86W AND 92W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAREN NEAR 27.6N 89.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. WINDS TROPICAL STORM FORCE OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NW QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N 
BETWEEN 86W AND 92W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 28.8N 89.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 
85W AND 91W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN INLAND NEAR 32.0N 86.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL KAREN NEAR 36.0N 
80.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLANTIC N OF 29N BETWEEN 37W AND 42W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 20N W OF 85W S TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.