000
FZNT02 KNHC 022214
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC WED OCT 02 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 04.
 
.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.3N 42.6W 1009 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
02 MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 31.5N 39.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N 
BETWEEN 37W AND 41W SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 33.6N 34.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 35.5N 30.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JERRY NEAR 38.0N 
26.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...CARIBBEAN GALE WARNING...
.TROUGH FROM 22N86W TO LOW PRES 1007 MB NEAR 19N86W TO 16N86W. N 
OF 20N BETWEEN 85W AND 86W SE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 82W AND 86W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH AND LOW PRES NW OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 74W E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 12 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH S OF 25N ALONG 87W WITH 
LOW PRES CENTER...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 22N87W 1007 
MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW PRES SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES CENTER...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
NEAR 25N88W 1006 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW PRES 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS 
AND SQUALLS.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N88W 1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.