000
FZNT02 KNHC 021531
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC WED OCT 02 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 04.
 
.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM JERRY AT 28.2N 43.9W 1009 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 02
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 30.3N 41.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 32.4N 37.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 34.7N 31.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JERRY NEAR 37.5N
26.5W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 72W AND 77W  E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W  E WINDS
20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 87W WITH EMBEDDED LOW 
PRES NEAR 19N86W 1008 MB.  N OF 18N E OF TROUGH TO 82W  SE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROUGH ALONG 87W WITH LOW PRES CENTER... 
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 22N87W 1006 MB.  N OF 18N FROM 
83W TO 87W  SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 12 HOUR FORECAST  TROUGH ALONG 87W WITH LOW PRES
CENTER...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 22N87W 1007 MB. WITHIN
120 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW PRES  WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS TO 30 KT.  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS.  SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 26N E OF TROUGH TO 84W  SE TO S WINDS 20
TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES CENTER...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...
NEAR 24N88W 1006 MB.  WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW PRES 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 KT.  SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS TSTMS.  SEAS TO 9 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 27N E OF
TROUGH TO 85W  SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES NEAR 27N89W 1006 MB...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE.  WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.