000
FZNT02 KNHC 021002
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC WED OCT 02 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 04.
 
.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 28.1N 44.0W 1008 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
02 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS TO 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 
NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SW 
AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 27N E OF 41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.9N 42.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. N OF 28N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 32.2N 38.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 120 NM SE 
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 
180 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 34.5N 33.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JERRY NEAR 38.0N
27.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 70W AND 76W E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 70W AND 81W E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 12 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 86W WITH EMBEDDED LOW 
PRES NEAR 19N86W 1008 MB. N OF 18N E OF TROUGH TO 82W SE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 87.5W WITH LOW PRES CENTER... 
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 22.5N87W 1009 MB. N OF 18N 
BETWEEN 83W AND 86.5W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 87.5W WITH LOW 
PRES CENTER...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 22.5N87W 1009 MB. 
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH FREQUENT 
GUSTS TO 30 KT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 26N E OF TROUGH TO 84W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 26.5N88.5W 1008 MB...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE. WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.