000
FZNT02 KNHC 020312
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
0430 UTC WED OCT 02 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 04.
 
.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 28.1N 43.7W 1008 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
02 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 29N E OF 40W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.5N 43.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 31.8N 40.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 34.0N 34.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 37.0N 29.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JERRY NEAR 41.0N
23.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W  
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 19N86W 1008 
MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE. N OF 20N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 30 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 23N87W 1008 
MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE. WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 26N88W 1008 MB...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE. WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.