000
FZNT02 KNHC 012154
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 01 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 03.
 
.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 28.1N 43.5W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
01 MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM 
SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
75 NM NE QUADRANT OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 29N E OF 40W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.1N 43.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 31.0N 41.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 33.0N 37.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 34.5N 32.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 37.0N 28.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN 12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W  
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 19N86W 1008 
MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE. N OF 20N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 23N87W 1008 
MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE. WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 25N88W 1008 MB...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE. WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.