000
FZNT02 KNHC 011531
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 01 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 03.
 
.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY AT 28.1N 43.5W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 01
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT
AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.  ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 28.7N 44.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.  ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 30.3N 43.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.  ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT  WINDS TO 33 KT.
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 31.5N 41.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 32.5N 37.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 33.0N 34.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 29N E OF 40W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
N SWELL.  FROM 15N TO 18N E OF 39W  E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 65W AND 72W  E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROUGH ALONG 83W N OF 15N.  FROM 17N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 82W AND 83W  SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W  E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 70W AND 76W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.  SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 42 HOUR FORECAST  TROUGH S OF 26N ALONG 86W. 
FROM 21N TO 26N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W  SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.