000
FZNT02 KNHC 010951
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE OCT 01 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 03.
 
.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 27.2N 43.7W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
01 STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 27.5N 44.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.0N 44.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 30.7N 41.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 32.0N 37.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 33.5N 33.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 27.5N E OF 43W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
NW SWELL. FROM 14N TO 18N E OF 39W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 10N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 55W AND 61W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST E OF LINE FROM 31N43W TO 26N37W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W AND 
42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS N OF 29N E OF 37W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH ALONG 82W S OF 21N. FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 
79W AND 81W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 72W AND 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 66W AND 72W E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 84W N OF 13N. FROM 17N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 80W AND 83W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
FROM 11N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH ALONG 87W N OF 15N. FROM 11N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 70W AND 76W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH S OF 27N ALONG 87W. 
FROM 23N TO 27N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.