000
FZNT02 KNHC 171542
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1630 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 19.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 19.8N 35.7W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 17 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 21.1N 39.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 22.6N 43.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
90 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 
WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 25.0N 47.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERIN NEAR 28.5N 
50.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 50W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WINDWARD PASSAGE NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES NEAR 21N93W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
21.5N94.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22N96W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.