000
FZNT02 KNHC 170948
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1030 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 17.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 18.                    
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 19.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 18.9N 35.6W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 17 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 20.4N 38.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS TO 14 FT WITHIN 60 NM N AND 45 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND WITHIN 150 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 21.4N 43.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
90 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 
WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 23.0N 48.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ERIN NEAR 25.5N 
52.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 47W AND 55W WINDS KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...AND ALSO S OF 23N 
BETWEEN 55W AND 76W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 23N BETWEEN 63W AND 75W INCLUDING ATLC 
APPROACH TO WINDWARD PASSAGE E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 70W AND 76W INCLUDING ATLC 
APPROACH TO WINDWARD PASSAGE E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT. 

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 70W AND 83W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. S OF 20N W OF 84W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. S OF 17N W OF 85W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 71W AND 76W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES NEAR 21N92W 1009 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22N94W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22.5N95W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.