000
FZNT02 KNHC 162045
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
2230 UTC FRI AUG 16 2013
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 18.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 17.7N 33.3W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC
AUG 16 MOVING W NW OR 300 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 15 NM SW QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 19.8N 37.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
15 NM E SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 23N E OF 41W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 20.9N 41.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT NEAR
CENTER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S AND WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 22.7N 45.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 25.0N 50.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 28.0N 53.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
 
.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 70W AND 84W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S OF 18N W OF 84W E TO SE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES 21.5N 91.5W 1009 MB. OVER WATER WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22N94W 1009 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N AND WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22N95W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N AND WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.