000
FZNT02 KNHC 160915
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1030 UTC FRI AUG 16 2013                                
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 16.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 17.                     
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 18. 

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 16.3N 30.5W 1007 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 16 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E AND 0 NM 
AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E 
AND 15 NM W SEMICIRCLES.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 18.6N 34.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 45 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 
WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 20.3N 38.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E...AND 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 21.0N 43.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 22.5N 47.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN NEAR 24.5N 51.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 
 
.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 69W AND 80W NE TO E WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 70W AND 85W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18N W OF 85W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 21N91W 1008 MB. OVER WATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22N92W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
24N93W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.