000
FZNT02 KNHC 151540
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU AUG 15 2013
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 17.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 14.4N 26.5W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 15 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 15.7N 31.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 17.4N 35.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 18.0N 40.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 18.0N 44.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 18.0N 49.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 44W AND 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 50W AND 64W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W E WINDS 25 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 68W AND 
81W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 72W AND 82W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 20.5N91W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
22.5N92.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.