000
FZNT02 KNHC 072200
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE AUG 7 2012

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 07
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 08
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 09

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 18.8N 86.2W 983 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 07 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.7N 90.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE...60 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 270 
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO OVER WATER NEAR 19.8N 94.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE...60 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE...60 NM SE... 
45 NM SW AND 75 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 19.5N
97.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS... 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE...360 NM SE...150 NM SW  
AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE...300 NM SE AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS OF 
ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERNESTO WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE...90 NM SE...75 NM SW AND 210 
NM NW QUADRANTS OF ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ATLC POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FLORENCE NEAR 18N48W 1011 MB. 
WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. TROUGH FROM 21N56W TO 18N58W 
TO 16N59W. FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 52W AND 58W E TO SE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 25N63W TO 20N66W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 70W AND 76W 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 71W AND 78W E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.