000
FZNT02 KNHC 131621
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 13 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAULA NEAR 21.3N 85.8W 984 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 13 
MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
40 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...15 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 45 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAULA NEAR 22.6N 84.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...15 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAULA INLAND NEAR 23.0N 82.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAULA INLAND NEAR 22.5N
80.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAULA NEAR 22.1N
79.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT ENTERING NW PORTIONS AT 31N80W 
WITH PRE FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 31N73W TO 27N80W. WITHIN 120 NM E 
OF TROUGH N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N69W TO 26.5N80W. NW OF FRONT N 
OF 30N NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. WITHIN 180 
NM SE OF FRONT N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS. SEAS TO 10 FT N OF 21N W OF 84W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N W OF 
81W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 78W E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 68W 
AND 81W E WINDS 20 KT TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 79W NE TO E WIND 20 
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 15N BETWEEN 67W AND 75W E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 100 NM OF 
CENTER OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 
24.5N BETWEEN 84W AND 89W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 100 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N 
BETWEEN 84W AND 89W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. W  
OF 90W N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 90W N 
TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. S OF 21N W OF 95W NW TO 
N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.