000
FZNT02 KNHC 121014 CCA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE OCT 12 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

CORRECTED TO UPGRADE PAULA TO A HURRICANE AT CURRENT TIME.

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAULA NEAR 17.6N 85.2W 992 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 12
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAULA NEAR 20.1N 86.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FOR WINDS WITH SEAS TO 25 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAULA NEAR 21.5N 86.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE...105 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAULA NEAR 21.5N 85.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAULA NEAR 21.5N 84.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAULA NEAR 21.0N 83.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC E OF LINE FROM 31N50W TO 20N35W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.ATLC S OF 20N E OF 40W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N 
SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 67W TO 78W E TO SE WINDS 20 
KT EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS W OF 73W AND 20 TO 25 KT WINDS NEAR 
COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 67W TO 79W E WINDS 20 
KT EXCEPT TO 25 KT NEAR COAST OF COLUMBIA. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
EXCEPT LESS THAN 8 FT E OF 70W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 67W TO 79W E WINDS 20 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT EXCEPT TO 8 FT NEAR COAST OF COLUMBIA.

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAULA WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAULA WARNING...WITHIN 135 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAULA WARNING...WITHIN 150 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO STRAITS OF FLORIDA E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAULA WARNING...WITHIN 135 
NM OF CENTER OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 25N E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAULA WARNING...WITHIN 150 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
21N TO 25N BETWEEN 83W AND 96W AND N OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 96W 
N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.