000
FZNT02 KNHC 160259
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU SEP 16 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC BETWEEN 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

.HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 20.2N 56.5W 942 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 16 
MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 210 NM NE...
175 NM SE...140 NM SW AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 510 NM NE...360 NM SE...330 NM SW AND 420 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 47 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 21.7N 59.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 225 NM NE...180 NM SE...150 NM SW AND 195 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM N AND 330 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 43 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 24.0N 62.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. HIGHEST 
SEAS 41 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 27.5N 65.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 31.5N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 36.5N 60.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
 
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 20.2N 34.6W 962 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 16
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE AND 70 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE...180 NM SE...210 NM SW AND 270 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 37 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 23.6N 40.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 135 NM NE...105 NM SE...75 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM E AND 
330 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 41 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 27.0N 46.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM E AND 360 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 31.5N 49.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIA NEAR 35.0N 48.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIA NEAR 36.5N 43.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
 
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 19.4N 90.7W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 16 
MOVING W NW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OVER W 
SEMICIRCLE EXTENDING INTO E BAY OF CAMPECHE. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 20.7N 93.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 21.5N 97.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL INLAND NEAR 21.5N 
99.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL INLAND NEAR 21.0N
102.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IGOR WARNING...WITHIN 600 NM N AND 480 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 20N BETWEEN 43W AND 66W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 13N TO 31N BETWEEN 43W AND 
70W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IGOR WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 630 NM N AND 540 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 48W AND 
77W E OF BAHAMAS NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. REMAINDER AREA N OF 13N BETWEEN 45W AND 79W E OF BAHAMAS 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IGOR WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 660 NM N AND 540 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 52W AND 
74W E OF BAHAMAS NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. REMAINDER AREA N OF 13N BETWEEN 50W AND 80W E OF BAHAMAS 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JULIA WARNING...FROM 17N TO 28N E OF 
43W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JULIA WARNING N OF 20N E OF 
45W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N E OF 
45W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JULIA WARNING N OF 20N E OF 
50W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N E OF 
50W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...FROM 20N TO 
28N E OF 91W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...FROM 20N TO 
27N W OF 95W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...FROM 19N TO 
28N W OF 90W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.