000
FZNT02 KNHC 151559
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 15 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC BETWEEN 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 19.8N 55.0W 942 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 15 
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 195 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 160 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM S SEMICIRCLE... 
450 NM NE QUADRANT AND 390 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 50 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 21.3N 57.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 175 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM NE AND 300 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 48 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 23.3N 60.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 230 NM NE QUADRANT...190 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
420 NM NE AND 270 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 46 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 26.0N 63.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 30.0N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IGOR NEAR 34.5N 63.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 18.2N 32.7W 950 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 15 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 21.3N 37.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 135 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 24.3N 44.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 27.5N 49.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIA NEAR 31.5N 50.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIA NEAR 35.0N 47.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 18.6N 88.2W 992 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 15 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL OVER WATER NEAR 20.1N 
91.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 21.3N 95.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL INLAND NEAR 21.5N 98.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL INLAND NEAR 21.0N
101.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IGOR WARNING...WITHIN 630 NM NE AND 360 
SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 12N TO 31N BETWEEN 45W AND 67W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IGOR WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 660 NM NE AND 390 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N BETWEEN 45W AND 
75W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 15N BETWEEN 45W AND 75W AND E OF THE 
BAHAMAS WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN IGOR WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 690 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 420 S SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 
50W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 18N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS TO 50W. 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.ATLC FROM 18N TO 27N E OF 38W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JULIA WARNING N OF 20 E OF 
42W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 14N E OF 
45W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JULIA WARNING...WITHIN 390 
NM NE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N E OF 50W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 26N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...FROM 20N TO 
25N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KARL WARNING...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N W OF 88W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.