000
FZNT02 KNHC 311011
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC BETWEEN 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 31.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE EARL NEAR 20.5N 66.7W 931 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 31
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...175 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT
...170 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
43 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EARL NEAR 23.3N 70.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 170 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM NE QUADRANT
...330 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS...AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 47 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EARL NEAR 28.0N 73.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SW QUADRANT AND 170 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT...420 
NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 390 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 44 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EARL N OF AREA NEAR 33.5N 74.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EARL NEAR 40.0N 69.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL EARL NEAR 48.0N
60.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FIONA NEAR 15.8N 53.0W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
31 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 20 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIONA NEAR 17.8N 59.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIONA NEAR 21.8N 64.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIONA NEAR 26.5N 67.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIONA NEAR 29.0N 68.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIONA NEAR 30.5N 69.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.


.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EARL WARNINGS...WITHIN 540 NM NW AND 
270 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF EARL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
AND GREATER. ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW...N OF 18N E OF 58W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. S OF 29N W 
OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT E OF BAHAMAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 540 NM 
NE AND 360 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF EARL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 
12 FT AND GREATER. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W OF 57W WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 540 NM E SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
420 NM NW QUADRANT OF EARL WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 19N W OF 70W WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.

.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIONA WARNINGS...WITHIN 450 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE OF FIONA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIONA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
420 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF FIONA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIONA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF FIONA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 
WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.ATLC FROM 16N TO 23N E OF 45W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.