000
FZNT02 KNHC 022100
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI NOV 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT NOV 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN NOV 04

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE NOEL NEAR 31.4N 72.4W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 02
MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 210 NM NE
QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM 
NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...540 NM NE QUADRANT AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 27 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 39.4N 69.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE...420 NM NE QUADRANT AND 480 NM 
SE QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 50.6N 61.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 480 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...180 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
540 NM SE QUADRANT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 61.0N 52.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 68.0N 46.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 28N E 
73W S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 40 KT SEAS 13 TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...COLD FRONT 31N79W 
27N80W. NW OF FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. N OF 
26N E OF FRONT TO 65W WINDS 25 TO 33 KT SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. FROM 
22N TO 26N W OF 65W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...COLD FRONT 
31N73W 21N76W. N OF 26N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 16 FT...HIGHEST SEAS ALONG 31N. N OF 28N E OF FRONT TO 
60W S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 12 TO 22 FT...HIGHEST ALONG 
31N. FROM 22N TO 28N E OF FRONT TO 60W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N68W 21N75W. N OF 26N W OF FRONT 
NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN N SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 
30N74W. N OF 26N E OF FRONT TO 60W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 10 
TO 15 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 23N TO 26N E OF FRONT TO 60W SE TO 
S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH 31N62W 20N74W. N OF 24N W OF 
FRONT WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL NE OF 
BAHAMAS.
N OF 22N E OF FRONT TO 60W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.

.ATLC N OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 50W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. N OF 24N E OF 40W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 22N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 40W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH 20N76W THROUGH WEAK LOW PRES 15N80W 1008W WITH 
TROUGH S TO 10N82W AND NEW COLD FRONT APPROACH YUCATAN CHANNEL. 
W OF 82W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT 20N77W THROUGH WEAK LOW PRES 
15N82W 1008 MB WITH TROUGH S TO 10N82W. N OF 15N W OF FRONT N TO 
NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH 20N73W 15N81W 10N81W. N OF 15N 
W OF TROUGH N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO E OF 92W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 27N E OF 93W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N E OF 90W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH