000
FZNT02 KNHC 020407 CCA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI NOV 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT NOV 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN NOV 04

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE NOEL NEAR 27.3N 76.1W 981 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 02
MOVING NNE OR 030 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...125 NM NE QUADRANT AND 25 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 540 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...30 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 33.0N 72.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 320 NM NW QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 42.5N 66.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 480 NM E SEMICIRCLE...300 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM 
NW QUADRANT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 53.0N 58.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 62.5N 50.W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 25N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W 
NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 11 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 28N 
BETWEEN 65W AND 80W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL AND GALE WARNINGS...
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT 28N35W 24N50W 31N72W. N OF FRONT NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N BETWEEN  
45W AND 77W ELY WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. W 
OF 77W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL AND GALE WARNINGS... 
FRONTAL TROUGH 25N35W 23N52W 31N65W. N OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 65W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST FRONT TROUGH DIFFUSE NEW TROUGH 31N72W 21N76W. 
N OF 25N W OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 14 FT 
IN N SWELL. N OF 25N WITHIN 480 NM E OF TROUGH S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 21 FT IN MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST SEAS ALONG 
31N. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 45W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. N OF 23N E OF 45W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N66W 20N74W. N OF 25N W OF TROUGH NW 
TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL. N OF 25N E OF 
TROUGH TO 60W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 TO 15 FT... 
HIGHEST SEAS ALONG 31N. N OF 22N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH 20N79W 13N83W. N OF 15N W OF TROUGH NW TO N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 17N E OF 
TROUGH TO 73W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 20N76W 10N80W. N OF 17N W OF 82W N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 20N76W 10N82W. W OF TROUGH N WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 28N E OF 91W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 28N E OF 88W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N E OF 87W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH