000
FZNT02 KNHC 012050
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU NOV 01 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU NOV 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI NOV 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT NOV 03

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 25.5N 77.1W 993 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 01 
MOVING N NE OR 030 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 0 NM OVER SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 
NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 30.7N 73.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 N  
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 39.0N 68.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 420 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 50.5N 60.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 60.0N 52.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 25N BETWEEN 68W AND 79W 
NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 26N 
BETWEEN 70W AND 77W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE WARNINGS... 
COLD FRONT 31N47W 29N53W STATIONARY TO 29N81W. N OF FRONT NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W OF 45W 
NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. FROM 10N TO 
18N W OF 55W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS...COLD FRONT 27N35W 26N65W. N OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 65W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. S OF 26N W OF 74W NW TO NW WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 45W AND 74W SE 
TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DIFFUSE. TROUGH 31N73W 21N76W. N OF 26N 
W OF TROUGH NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 TO 15 FT IN N SWELL. N 
OF 26N WITHIN 420 NM E OF TROUGH S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
12 TO 20 FT IN MIXED SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 45W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. N OF 26N E OF 45W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL. FROM 20 TO 26N E OF 
TROUGH TO 50W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N68W 21N75W. N OF 25N W OF TROUGH NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL. N OF 25N E OF TROUGH 
TO 60W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 25N E OF 
60W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH 20N79W 13N83W. N OF 17N W OF TROUGH NW TO N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 17N E OF TROUGH
TO 73W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 21N78W 11N81W. N OF 19N W OF 84W N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 20N76W 10N82W. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 27N E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 27N E OF 87W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH