000
FZNT02 KNHC 010930
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU NOV 01 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 03

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 23.7N 78.5W 992 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 01 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 
60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER AND 115 NM NW QUADRANT EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT..100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
115 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 27.2N 76.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE TO WINDS AND 
SEAS RADII.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 34.8N 70.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE AND NW 
QUADRANTS...240 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT. MAX SEAS TO 
25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 43.5N 63.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 53.0N 52.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 57.5N 42.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 24N W OF 70W NE TO E 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 70W 
SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 24N W 
OF 75W N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. N OF 24N 
BETWEEN 68W AND 75W SE TO S WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 70W S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W S WINDS 30 TO 35 
KT SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE WARNINGS... 
STATIONARY FRONT 31N44W 29N60W 29N70W 29N80W.  N OF FRONT N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF FRONT TO 18N W OF 
60W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS...COLD FRONT 29N35W 27N50W 28N60W. N OF FRONT NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 11 FT. FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 55W E TO 
SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N70W TO 22N75W. S OF 25N W OF 
FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. N OF 25N W OF FRONT N 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. FROM 25N TO 30N E OF FRONT TO 
60W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N 
BETWEEN 40W AND 60W E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 30 KT SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
N OF 27N E OF 40W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
 
.ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH 20N80W 15N80W 10N82W. N OF 12N W OF TROUGH NW 
TO N  WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. S OF 12N W OF TROUGH 
SW TO W WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 18N E OF TROUGH 
TO 72W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 72W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 22N80W 10N80W. N OF 12N W OF TROUGH NW 
TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 15N 
E OF TROUGH TO 70W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST 1008 MB LOW NEAR 16N80W. TROUGH 21N79W 16N80W 
10N81W. N OF 16N W OF TROUGH N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 16N E OF TROUGH TO 73W INCLUDING WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 27N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. E OF 92W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W N WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W N TO NE WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH