000
FZNT02 KNHC 312126
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED OCT 31 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 31
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU NOV 01
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI NOV 02

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 22.6N 78.8W 996 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 31 
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...
120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 25.3N 78.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER  WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 31.5N 72.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 39.0N 66.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 49.0N 57.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 60.0N 47.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 23N W OF 65W NE TO E 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 23N W OF 68W 
E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 24N W 
OF 65W ELY WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST GALE CONDITIONS MERGE WITH NOEL WARNING.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE WARNINGS...COLD 
FRONT 31N44W 28N60W. STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES TO 29N70W 
29N80W. N OF FRONTS N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S 
OF FRONTS TO 18N W OF 60W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS...COLD FRONT 31N35W 27N45W 27N60W 31N67W. N OF FRONT NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 11 FT. FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 55W E 
TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING. FRONTAL 
TROUGH 27N35W 25N55W. N OF 25N E OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. N OF 23N BETWEEN 65W AND 75W S WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. N OF 23N W OF 75W NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N W OF 55W E TO SE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
 
.ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH 18N79W 10N80W. N OF 12N W OF TROUGH NW TO N  
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. S OF 12N W OF TROUGH SW TO W 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 18N E OF TROUGH TO 72W 
INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
ELSEWHERE E OF 72W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 22N81W 10N80W. N OF 12N W OF TROUGH NW 
TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 15N E 
OF TROUGH TO 70W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 21N79W 10N81W. N OF 17N W OF TROUGH N
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 15N E OF 
TROUGH TO 73W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 27N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. E OF 92W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W N WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W N TO NE WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER FORMOSA
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH