000
FZNT02 KNHC 311512
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 31 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 31
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 01
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 02

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 22.7N 78.5W 994 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 31 
MOVING N NW OR 345 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 350 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 25.1N 78.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 30.0N 73.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND WITHIN 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 36.0N 67.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 45.0N 60.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 55.0N 51.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 23N W OF 65W NE TO E 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 23N W OF 68W 
E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING...N OF 24N W 
OF 65W ELY WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST GALE CONDITIONS MERGE WITH NOEL WARNING.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE WARNINGS...COLD 
FRONT 31N48W 28N65W. N OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. S OF FRONT TO 18N W OF 60W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS...COLD FRONT 29N35W 25N50W 25N65W. N OF FRONT NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 11 FT. FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 55W E TO 
SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NOEL WARNING. FRONTAL 
TROUGH 27N35W 22N55W. N OF 25N E OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. N OF 23N BETWEEN 65W AND 75W S WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. N OF 23N W OF 75W NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N W OF 55W E TO SE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
 
.ATLC ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH 22N78W 10N80W. N OF 12N W OF TROUGH NW TO N  
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. S OF 12N W OF TROUGH SW TO W 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 18N E OF TROUGH TO 72W 
INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
ELSEWHERE E OF 72W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 22N80W 10N80W. N OF 12N W OF TROUGH NW 
TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 15N E 
OF TROUGH TO 70W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 22N80W 10N83W. N OF 17N W OF TROUGH N
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 15N E OF 
TROUGH TO 73W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 27N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. E OF 92W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W N WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W N TO NE WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH