000
FZNT02 KNHC 310318
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED OCT 31 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 31
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU NOV 01
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI NOV 02

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 21.4N 78.1W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 31 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOEL OVER WATER NEAR 23.3N
78.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH MAXIMUM SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOEL BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
NEAR 27.6N 76.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 34.5N 69.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 42.0N 62.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 51.0N 55.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 23N W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT 
SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 25 
TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 18 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 
70W SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 67W SE WINDS 25 TO 35 
KT SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N W OF 55W E TO SE WINDS 
25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.S OF 22N W OF 94W NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN 
N SWELL.  
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE WARNINGS...N OF 
23N W OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 23N 
W OF 65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS...N OF 24N W OF 50W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. S OF 24N W OF 60W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS...NW OF LINE 31N37W 24N55W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
  
.ATLC FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 65W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 65W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 17N E OF 44W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS  
TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH FROM 20N78W TO 12N83W. N OF 18N BETWEEN 82W 
AND 85W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 16N BETWEEN 74W 
AND 77W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 21N80W TO 11N79W. N OF 18N BETWEEN 
82W AND 86W...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...NW WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 18N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...INCLUDING 
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. E OF 
70W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 21N79W TO 12N79W. N OF 16N W OF 
82W...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...NW WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT 
IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. N OF 17N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...INCLUDING THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GALE WARNING...DISSIPATING 
STATIONARY FRONTAL TROUGH 28N83W 25N91W 19N93W. WITHIN 150 NM N 
AND W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE E OF 87W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. S OF 22N W OF 94W NW TO N 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL. E OF 85W NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 
90W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. S OF 22N W OF 93W NW TO N 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. E OF 88W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N 
E OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF 90W NE TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. S OF 21N W OF 94W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN N 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH