000
FZNT02 KNHC 301624
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 30 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 30
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 31
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 01

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 21.1N 77.4W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 30
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
MAXIMUM SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF
CUBA NEAR 22.5N 78.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50
KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NOEL NEAR 26.2N 77.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM W 
QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SEAS TO XX FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 32.5N 71.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 39.0N 64.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW NOEL NEAR 46.5N 58.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.ATLC N OF 25N W OF 73W NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS 10 TO 15. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N W OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT 
SEAS 18 TO 22 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGE WITH TROPICAL STORM NOEL 
WARNING.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.S OF 22N W OF 93W NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT SEAS TO 16 FT IN N 
SWELL.  
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS BELOW GALE FORCE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE WARNINGS...E OF 
66W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM AND GALE 
WARNINGS...S OF 27N W OF 68W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
N OF 27N W OF 55W SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...  
N OF 23N W OF 41W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
ELSEWHERE S OF 27N FROM 65W TO 77W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT 
SEAS TO 12 FT.  

.ATLC FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 65W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 15N E OF 38W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 

.CARIBBEAN TROUGH FROM 18N77W TO 9N81W. N OF 18N BETWEEN TROUGH 
AND 85W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 15N BETWEEN 
72W AND 76W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 21N80W TO 12N81W. N OF 19N BETWEEN 
TROUGH AND 85W...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...NW WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 18N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W...INCLUDING 
THE WINDWARD CHANNEL...S WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. E OF 
70W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 20N80W TO 12N80W. N OF 17N W OF 
TROUGH...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...NW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. N OF 17N BETWEEN 73W AND 75W...INCLUDING THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE...S WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. E OF 70W E 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GALE WARNING...STATIONARY 
FRONTAL TROUGH 28N83W 26N90W 18N93W. N AND W OF TROUGH N TO NE 
WIND 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 86W...INCLUDING 
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 23N E OF 92W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN 
NE SWELL. S OF 21N W OF 94W NW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN N 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF 87W NE TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. BETWEEN 87W AND 90W N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT. S OF 21N W 
OF 94W NW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH