000
FZNT02 KNHC 281857 AAA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...AMENDED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

AMENDED TO UPGRADE TD 16 TO TROPICAL STORM NOEL

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 28
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 29
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 30

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING UPDATED...
.TROPICAL STORM NOEL SPECIAL NEAR 16.5N 71.8W 996 MB AT 1815 UTC
OCT 28 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 
NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 18.7N 74.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM NE QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL INLAND NEAR 21.1N 
76.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT. 
ELSEWHERE LITTLE CHANGE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 22.5N 77.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 23.5N 77.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SPECIAL NEAR 25.5N 75.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.S OF 25N W OF 90W N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N W OF 93W NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 40 KT 
SEAS 11 TO 17 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...UPDATED 
.UPDATED ATLC COLD FRONT 31N78W 27N80W. W OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N W OF 65W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN E SWELL.  
.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N68W 24N80W. NW OF FRONT NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT GUSTS TO 35 KT SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 
65W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN E SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N65W 23N78W. NW OF FRONT NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT SEAS 9 TO 16 FT....HIGHEST NW PART. ELSEWHERE W OF 
65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN E SWELL.  

.ATLC FRONTAL TROUGH 31N43W 26N50W 23N65W. N OF 28N W OF TROUGH 
TO 53W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N
OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. N OF 
27N WITHIN 360 NM E OF TROUGH S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N48W 23N55W 22N65W. N OF TROUGH WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC S OF 16N E OF 50W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 18N E OF 57W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N E OF 65W  NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.UPDATED CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...N OF 14N 
BETWEEN 69W AND 74W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER  
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 72W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 72W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W 
OF 74W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 74W SE TO S 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 77W N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...ELSEWHERE S OF 
28N W OF 90W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. E OF 90W 
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 11 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH