000
FZNT02 KNHC 300307
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 30
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 01
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 02

.WARNINGS.
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 15.8N 30.2W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
30 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 17.4N 33.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
SEAS TO 14 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA NEAR 19.5N 38.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA DISSIPATING NEAR
22.0N 42.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MELISSA NEAR 24.5N 44.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF KAREN...NEAR 17N54W 1009 MB MOV WNW 10 
KT. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 18N TO 24N ALONG 58W...WITHIN 120 
NM W AND 180 NM E OF TROUGH WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 19N TO 25N ALONG 61W...WITHIN 120 
NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT. 

.ATLC COLD FRONT 31N69W 28N81W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...LOCALLY 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING FRONT 31N66W 26N80W. N OF FRONT NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 31N67W 26N80W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 31N64W 27N80W 
NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MELISSA WARNINGS.
FROM 15N TO 18N E OF 38W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MELISSA WARNINGS. FROM 
18N TO 22N E OF 40W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N FROM 65W TO 73W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N FROM 70W TO 75W E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO N OF 25N E OF 87W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 90W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 
9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 92W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT...LOCALLY HIGHER STRAITS OF FLORIDA. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER COBB
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH