000
FZNT02 KNHC 282134
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 28
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 29
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 30

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 16.4N 49.9W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
28 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE AND 110 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE AND 100 NM SW 
QUADRANTS WITH HIGHEST SEAS 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 18.2N 52.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 
90 NM NE QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 20.3N 55.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 22.5N 57.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 24.0N 59.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 25.5N 61.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM NE...180 
NM SE...45 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM NW AND 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 
NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM W AND 180 NM E SEMICIRCLES WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 
NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.ATLC 18 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N73W 29N81W. W OF FRONT NE 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N72W 28N81W. W OF FRONT NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N70W 25N81W. W OF FRONT NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITH NE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 16N BETWEEN 69W AND 75W E WIND TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO INLAND NEAR 20.8N 
99.0W 1008 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 28 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. FROM 20N TO 22N 
WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N E OF 86W NE WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 90W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 
10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH