000
FZNT02 KNHC 281602
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 28
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 29
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 30

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 15.1N 49.2W 1009 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
28 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT WITH MAXIMUM SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 16.6N 52.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 18.5N 54.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 20.0N 56.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 21.5N 58.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 22.0N 60.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 30 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 420 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 120 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 
NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N72W 28N81W. W OF FRONT NE 
WIND 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.CARIBBEAN S OF 16N FROM 69W TO 74W E WIND TO 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO INLAND NEAR 20.6N 
98.4W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 28 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 8 KT. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW 21.0N 99.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
FROM 20N TO 22N W OF 94W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.5N 101.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST ...DISSIPATED.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH