000
FZNT02 KNHC 280912
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 28
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 29
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 30

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 14.1N 49.8W 1008 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
28 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 175 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 16.0N 52.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E AND 180 W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 18.5N 55.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 18 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 20.5N 56.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 22.0N 57.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 22.5N 60.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LORENZO NEAR 20.6N 97.5W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
28 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO INLAND NEAR 20.9N
98.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 240 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 270 
NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 
NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WIND LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 31N69W 28N81W. W OF FRONT NE 
WIND 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.CARIBBEAN S OF 16N FROM 69W TO 74W E WIND TO 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LORENZO WARNINGS WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER WIND 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22N W OF 95W E TO SE WIND 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH