000
FZNT02 KNHC 280347
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 28
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 29
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 30

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO AT 20.5N 96.5W 990 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 28 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 70 GUSTS 85 
KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 
NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO INLAND NEAR 21.0N 
98.5W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 50 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 
12 FT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 14.8N 49.5W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
28 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 
GUSTS 60 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 16.9N 52.5W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM E AND 180 W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 19.2N 54.8W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS 
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 21.0N 56.0W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 22.5N 57.5W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 23.5N 59.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 
240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 
270 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 
FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 
240 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 
FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE  WIND LESS THAN 20 
KT  SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N77W TO LOW PRES 29N78W 1011 MB TO 26N80W.  
N OF 28N FROM 65W TO 77W  S WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES AND CONDITIONS N OF AREA.

.ATLC 42 HOUR FORECAST  COLD FRONT 31N75W 29N81W.
NW OF FRONT NE WIND 20 TO 25 KT  SEAS BUILD TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE. 

.CARIBBEAN S OF 16N FROM 68W TO 74W  E WIND TO 20 KT
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN LORENZO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 22N W OF 96W  E TO SE WIND 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH