000
FZNT02 KNHC 270853
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 27
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 28
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 29

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 13.6N 46.6W 998 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 27
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 15.8N 50.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
200 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 18.1N 53.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 20.0N 56.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 21.5N 57.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 23.0N 59.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN NEAR 20.8N 95.1W 1008 MB AT 0900
UTC SEP 27 MOVING WSW OR 245 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.6N 96.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
OF CENTER WITH SEA TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN INLAND NEAR 20.9N 
98.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS  WITHIN 210 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 300 NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 180 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS LITTLE 
CHANGE.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N80W 28N81W TO LOW 24N81W 1012 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
E OF TROUGH SE WIND TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS NE OF AREA.
   
.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W 
NE TO E WIND TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS S OF 
24N W OF 90W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS 
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS S OF 
22N W OF 95W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH