000
FZNT02 KNHC 262146
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 26
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 27
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 28

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN AT 12.4N 43.6W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC 26 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 
75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE KAREN NEAR 14.6N 47.2W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 75 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 17.0N 50.1W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 180 NM 
N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 19.0N 52.5W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 21.0N 55.0W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 23.0N 57.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN AT 21.3N 94.5W 1009 MB AT 2100 UTC 
26 STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.9N 95.1W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF 
CENTER WITH HIGHEST SEAS 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.5N 96.3W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
60 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER 
WITH HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN INLAND NEAR 20.2N
97.8W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...
LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS...WITHIN 
240 NM SW QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER  WIND 
TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS...S OF 
24N W OF 90W  WIND 20 TO 30 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT IN TSTMS WITHIN 150 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.ATLC TROUGH 31N79W 28N81W WITH EMBEDDED LOW PRES 1011 MB. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 150 NM E OF TROUGH  SE WIND TO 20 KT  
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  SCATTERED TSTMS. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES 29N78W 1012 MB.  WITHIN 180 NM
E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW PRES  SE TO S WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES AND CONDITIONS NE OF AREA.
   
.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W
NE TO E WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER  WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH