000
FZNT02 KNHC 260859
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 26
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 27
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 28

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 11.2N 42.1W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
26 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...45
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 13.0N 46.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KAREN NEAR 15.6N 49.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 18.0N 51.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 20.0N 53.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 22.5N 55.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN NEAR 21.0N 95.0W 1008 MB AT 0900
UTC SEP 26 MOVING S OR 180 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.6N 94.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.1N 96.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN INLAND NEAR 20.0N
98.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS LITTLE 
CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KAREN WARNINGS WITHIN 300 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W E WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS WITHIN 
120 NM WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS 
WITHIN 150 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TD THIRTEEN WARNINGS 
WITHIN 180 NM WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH