000
FZNT02 KNHC 251514
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 25
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 26
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 27

.WARNINGS.
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 10.8N 38.7W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
25 MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 30 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 11.8N 43.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 13.9N 48.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 17.2N 51.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 20.0N 53.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 22.5N 54.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM SW QUADRANT 
AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...LITTLE CHANGE.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W 
E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES 22N95W 1009 MB WITH TROUGH NE TO 
28N90W. WITHIN 180 NM NE AND WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 22N94W...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 
1010 MB WITH TROUGH NE TO 28N91W. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...22N94W 
1010 MB. WITHIN 45 NM OF LOW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.    

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH