000
FZNT02 KNHC 172141
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI AUG 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 19

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 15.0N 64.5W 961 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 17 MOVING
W OR 280 DEG AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 16.4N 70.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
300 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 18.0N 77.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 40 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 20.0N 84.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 22.0N 90.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 24.5N 96.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480
NM NE...420 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 57W 
AND 67W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480 
NM E AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
20N TO 26N BETWEEN 65W AND 78W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT.

.ATLC FROM 12N TO 24N E OF 50W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 27N E OF 50W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 53W S OF 23N. FROM 16N TO 
27N E OF 62W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W E WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH