000
FZNT02 KNHC 160857
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU AUG 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 18

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 13.4N 52.3W 987 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 16
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 21 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 14.4N 59.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...360 NE AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 15.4N 66.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
420 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. .72 HOUR 
FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 16.5N 73.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 18.0N 80.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 20.0N 87.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIN NEAR 27.3N 96.7W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 16
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 75 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN INLAND NEAR 28.8N
99.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW ERIN NEAR 29.5N 101.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SE AND 150 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N E OF 60W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 480  
NM N SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE AND 150 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 24N E OF 64W NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNINGS...WITHIN 420 
NM N AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 24N E OF 69W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN NE SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN FROM FROM 12N TO 17N E OF 76W E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS PARAGRAPH FROM 
12N TO 18N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE N OF 15N E OF 77W NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ERIN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER DGS
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH