000 FZNT02 KNHC 150938 HSFAT2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC WED AUG 15 2007 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS PAN PAN ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 15 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 16 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 17 .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM DEAN NEAR 12.2N 44.2W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 15 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 16 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DEAN NEAR 12.8N 50.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 23 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 13.8N 57.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 30 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 15.0N 63.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 16.0N 68.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DEAN NEAR 17.5N 74.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE NEAR 24.6N 91.8W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 15 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 26.4N 95.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE INLAND NEAR 28.0N 98.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 SE QUADRANT ND 150 SW QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 23N E OF 52W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM 12N43W. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM N AND 180 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 23N E OF 62W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF DEAN. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DEAN WARNING...WITHIN 480 NM N AND 210 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 23N E OF 66W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL. NUMEROUS TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF DEAN. .ATLC TROUGH 31N62W 25N75W. N OF 26N WITHIN 300 NM E OF TROUGH SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 31N68W 22N72W. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 77W AND 72W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 10 FT IN SWELL NE ATLC PASSAGES. .GULF OF MEXICO EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 FT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. $$ FORECASTER NELSON TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH