000
FZNT02 KNHC 271013
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN AUG 27 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 27
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 28
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 29

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY NEAR 28.6N 49.3W 1012 MB AT 0900 UTC
AUG 27 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT GUSTS 35 KT.   
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT LOW...FORMERLY TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DEBBY...N OF AREA NEAR 33.5N 48.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 17.0N 73.1W 990 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
27 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 225 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50
NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 17.8N 74.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 19.3N 76.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 22.1N 80.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 24.4N 83.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO NEAR 26.5N 84.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERNESTO INLAND NEAR 30.0N 81.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.ATLC..EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS... WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT 
...90 NM E QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
DEBBY WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF REMNANT LOW WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...HIGHEST N OF AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS N OF AREA.

.ATLC S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W NE TO WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SE BAHAMAS AND THE CUBAN COAST 
SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 28N W OF 76W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF 
HURRICANE ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 15W W OF 81W  NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE
SWELL. N OF 12N BETWEEN 64W AND 79W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF 
HURRICANE ERNESTO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 15N TO 17N E OF 80W SW TO W WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT. N OF 17N BETWEEN 80W AND 83W N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 66W AND 75W E TO SE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF HURRICANE ERNESTO
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N BETWEEN 
83W AND 85W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 11N BETWEEN 
70W  AND 75W E TO SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT...EXCEPT 
TO 8 FT NEAR COAST OF S AMERICA.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N BETWEEN 95W AND 90W E TO SE WINDS TO
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.244 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER TORRES
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER