032 
ACPN50 PHFO 190538
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Sun Aug 18 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii (EP90):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with a low pressure system located well southeast  
of the Hawaiian Islands.  This disturbance is forecast to interact 
with a disturbance located to its east-northeast.  If this system 
becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is 
possible, and a tropical depression could form in the next couple 
of days while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of 
the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the 
Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Approximately 1700 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association 
with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  This system is 
forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest 
over the next few days which could limit additional development. 
Regardless, a tropical depression could form during the middle part 
of the week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward before 
it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located farther 
west. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

$$

Forecaster Gibbs