000 ACPN50 PHFO 170538 TWOCP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Mon Sep 16 2019 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: An area of low pressure with showers and thunderstorms about 540 miles south-southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii has become better organized over the past 6 to 12 hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and this system could become a tropical depression within a few days as it moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An elongated area of low pressure lies some 800 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Slow development is possible during the next several days while the area slowly moves westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure, located about 1150 miles west-southwest of Kauai, continues to remain disorganized. This system is expected to slowly move northeast into unfavorable environmental conditions. Development, if any, will be slow to occur. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Kino