ADVISORY NUMBER 19 TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SUN AUG 29 1993 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 26.5N 65.2W 58 X X X 58 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3 27.0N 66.5W 28 1 X X 29 FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 27.5N 68.0W 9 9 2 1 21 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 MTPP 186N 724W X X X 2 2 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 3 3 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 MBJT 215N 712W X X 2 3 5 WILMINGTON NC X X X 3 3 MYMM 224N 730W X X 2 4 6 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3 MYSM 241N 745W X X 2 5 7 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3 MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 5 6 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 4 4 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 5 5 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 4 4 FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2 BERMUDA X 1 3 4 8 VENICE FL X X X 2 2 MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT