ADVISORY NUMBER 31 HURRICANE ANDREW PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT THU AUG 26 1992 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 25.8N 83.2W 39 X X X 39 CEDAR KEY FL 1 5 3 1 10 26.4N 85.7W 5 18 1 X 24 ST MARKS FL X 1 4 3 8 27.1N 88.2W X 7 9 2 18 APALACHICOLA FL X 2 6 3 11 MUHA 230N 824W 3 X 1 X 4 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 6 3 10 MUAN 219N 850W X 2 X 1 3 PENSACOLA FL X X 4 6 10 MYAK 241N 776W 12 X X X 12 MOBILE AL X X 3 7 10 MYNN 251N 775W 99 X X X 99 GULFPORT MS X X 3 8 11 MYGF 266N 787W 60 X X X 60 BURAS LA X X 6 7 13 MMSO 238N 982W X X X 5 5 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 3 9 12 MMTM 222N 979W X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 11 12 MMTX 210N 974W X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 10 10 MMMD 210N 897W X X 2 1 3 GALVESTON TX X X X 11 11 MARATHON FL 53 X X X 53 FREEPORT TX X X X 10 10 MIAMI FL 71 X X X 71 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 10 10 W PALM BEACH FL 42 X X X 42 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 9 9 FT PIERCE FL 13 X 1 X 14 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 8 8 COCOA BEACH FL 4 2 1 X 7 GULF 29N 85W X 6 5 2 13 DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 2 1 1 5 GULF 29N 87W X 2 9 3 14 JACKSONVILLE FL X 1 1 2 4 GULF 28N 89W X 1 11 4 16 SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 8 7 15 KEY WEST FL 41 X X X 41 GULF 28N 93W X X 3 10 13 MARCO ISLAND FL 50 X X X 50 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 10 11 FT MYERS FL 37 X X X 37 GULF 27N 96W X X X 10 10 VENICE FL 25 1 X X 26 GULF 25N 96W X X 1 8 9 TAMPA FL 9 6 X 1 16 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT