ADVISORY NUMBER 1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST WED AUG 19 1992 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 12.2N 44.6W 35 1 X X 36 TFFR 163N 615W X X 1 9 10 13.0N 48.3W 6 17 X 1 24 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 9 9 13.7N 51.9W X 10 8 1 19 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 8 8 SVMG 110N 640W X X X 4 4 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 8 8 TTPP 106N 614W X X X 7 7 TISX 177N 648W X X X 6 6 TTPT 112N 608W X X X 8 8 TIST 183N 650W X X X 6 6 TGPY 120N 618W X X X 8 8 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 4 4 TBPB 131N 595W X X 2 9 11 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 4 4 TVSV 131N 612W X X 1 8 9 ST CROIX VI X X X 6 6 TLPL 138N 610W X X 1 9 10 ST THOMAS VI X X X 6 6 TFFF 146N 610W X X 1 9 10 SAN JUAN PR X X X 4 4 TDPR 153N 614W X X 1 9 10 PONCE PR X X X 4 4 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT