ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST FRI JUL 31 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.1 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON AUG 3 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.0N 55.0W 56 X X 1 57 TISX 177N 648W X X X 4 4 19.5N 57.0W 2 35 X X 37 TIST 183N 650W X X X 5 5 20.5N 59.0W X 15 10 X 25 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 2 2 TDPR 153N 614W X X 1 1 2 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 3 3 TFFR 163N 615W X X 3 2 5 ST CROIX VI X X X 4 4 TAPA 171N 618W X X 5 3 8 ST THOMAS VI X X X 5 5 TKPK 173N 627W X X 2 5 7 SAN JUAN PR X X X 3 3 TNCM 181N 631W X X 3 6 9 PONCE PR X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN