ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU JUL 30 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN AUG 2 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 16.2N 51.5W 54 X X X 54 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 11 11 17.0N 54.0W 1 31 X X 32 TISX 177N 648W X X X 6 6 18.0N 56.0W X 13 10 1 24 TIST 183N 650W X X X 7 7 TBPB 131N 595W X X X 2 2 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 3 3 TLPL 138N 610W X X X 2 2 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 4 4 TFFF 146N 610W X X 1 4 5 ST CROIX VI X X X 6 6 TDPR 153N 614W X X 1 6 7 ST THOMAS VI X X X 7 7 TFFR 163N 615W X X 1 9 10 SAN JUAN PR X X X 4 4 TAPA 171N 618W X X 1 11 12 PONCE PR X X X 3 3 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 10 10 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN