NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
NHC Graphical Outlook Archive (Text)
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE STEADILY BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. HOWEVER...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME EVEN LESS CONDUCIVE OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER STEWART
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